Global Warming Effects Around the World

Chacaltaya Glacier, Bolivia

Top Impact

People (Water use)

Other Impacts

Freshwater (Land ice)

Temperature (Air)

Protesters line the streets of El Alto, Bolivia

The fast-growing Bolivian metropolis of El Alto-La Paz depends on Andean glaciers for its water supply. One such glacier, Chacaltaya, disappeared in 2009, and other Bolivian glaciers are shrinking. Lack of access to water has already sparked citizen protests, as seen here in the streets of El Alto.1

Key Facts

As glacial retreat reaches critical levels in Bolivia, water stress plagues the cities of El Alto and La Paz.3,8,9 If our heat-trapping emissions continue to rise at current rates, many tropical glaciers in Latin America are likely to disappear within a few decades.12

  • Chacaltaya glacier, northeast of La Paz, lost more than 90 percent of its volume from the 1940s to the late 1990s-and disappeared completely in 2009.3,9,10,11
  • Average temperatures throughout the tropical Andes rose around 0.6° F (0.33° C) per decade in the last quarter of the twentieth century.13,14 Scientists have observed that temperature increases of as little as 0.2° F (0.1° C) per decade can cause glaciers to shrink dramatically.17
  • Melting of tropical Andean glaciers threatens the water supply of 30 million people, agriculture, hydropower, and the region's immense biodiversity.4,23

Details

La Paz and the neighboring city of El Alto, Bolivia, compose one of the fastest-growing urban areas in Latin America.2,3 La Paz, the world's highest capital city, depends on runoff from Andean glaciers for around 30 percent of its water supply.2,4

According to estimates by the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF), only about one-third of El Alto residents had access to all water-related services in the late 1990s, and one in five lacked potable water.5,6 With the basic needs of so many people already unmet, residents revolted against privatization of the city's water system, which priced tens of thousands of people out of access to water. In 2005 the government returned El Alto's water system to public control.7

However, water shortages continue to plague El Alto-La Paz, as glacial retreat reaches critical levels in Bolivia.8,9 Chacaltaya glacier—some 12 miles (20 kilometers) northeast of La Paz—lost more than 60 percent of its volume from the 1940s to the early 1980s, and more than 90 percent by the late 1990s.9,10 Early this century, scientists projected that Chacaltaya glacier would melt completely by 2010,9 and it disappeared in 2009.3,11 The Zongo glacier northeast of Chacaltaya is also shrinking.10

Glaciers across South America have shrunk severely in recent decades, with many vanishing altogether.12 Scientists attribute the accelerating retreat of Andean glaciers to climate change—primarily warming temperatures, higher humidity, and shifting precipitation.13 Average temperatures throughout the tropical Andes have been rising since the mid-twentieth century, with the rate of increase jumping to around 0.6° F (0.33° C) per decade in the last quarter of the century.13,14

High humidity also plays a role in shrinking the Andean glaciers, as it causes the glaciers to melt rather than turn into vapor through a process known as sublimation. Melting decreases the surface reflectivity—or albedo—of a glacier, which means that it absorbs more of the sun's energy. That leads to a cycle of further warming and melting.9

Scientists have also linked the disappearance of the Chacaltaya glacier to decreases in precipitation linked to more frequent El Niño events.9 The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a cyclical shift in ocean temperatures and atmospheric pressure in the Pacific Ocean. In a warming world, El Niño phases have been lasting longer and become more intense.9,15

Part of a Larger Pattern

By storing water as ice, glaciers provide a long-term source of water during droughts.16 Glacial ice covers one-tenth of Earth's surface, and accounts for about three-quarters of the world's freshwater.17 The ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica hold all but 3-4 percent of the world's glacial ice. Of the remaining amount, South America has only 5 percent.18

Glacial melting provides some of the clearest evidence of global warming.17 Temperatures rising by as little as 0.2° F (0.1° C) per decade can cause glaciers to shrink by hundreds or even thousands of yards (meters) in length.17

Glaciers around the world have been retreating over the past century.19 Although some have been growing, the overall rate of retreat has risen in the past decade, and the total volume of glaciers on Earth is rapidly declining.17,19,20,21 Scientists estimate that the average annual melting of mountain glaciers has doubled since 2000—on top of the already higher melting rates of the last two decades of the twentieth century. The year 2006 set a new record for loss of mass among monitored glaciers.17

What the Future Holds

Scientists project that South America is likely to warm by 3.2-8.1° F (1.8-4.5° C) by the end of this century, with the scope of climate change depending on the choices regarding emissions we make today.12 If our heat-trapping emissions continue to rise at current rates, many tropical glaciers in Latin America are likely to disappear within a few decades.12

The melting of the tropical Andean glaciers endangers the water supply of tens of millions of Bolivian citizens, as well as countless plant and animal species that inhabit the area.4 The loss of glaciers as a natural means of managing water resources could harm mountain communities, cities, local wildlife, and agriculture.22 It could also disrupt hydropower,4,23 which accounts for half of Bolivia's electricity supply.4

Fortunately, Bolivia is among a handful of countries that are actively trying to adapt to glacial retreat. The government is exploring approaches such as diversifying water sources, managing demand for water and collection of rainfall, and improving the efficiency of agricultural water use.5

Credits

Endnotes

  1. Photograph used by permission. Paul Benson. Available online at http://www.flickr.com/ photos/ 58499417@N00/, accessed 17 Aug 2010.
  2. U.S. Department of State. 2010. Background note: Bolivia. Washington, DC. Online at http://www.state.gov/ r/ pa/ ei/ bgn/ 35751.htm. Accessed June 26, 2010.
  3. Shukman, D. 2009. Glacier threat to Bolivia capital. BBC News. Online at http://news.bbc.co.uk/ 2/ hi/ science/ nature/ 8394324.stm. Accessed June 26, 2010.
  4. World Bank. 2008. Retracting glacier impacts economic outlook in the tropical Andes. Washington, DC. Online at http://go.worldbank.org/ W5C3YWZFG0. Accessed April 23, 2010.
  5. Climate Institute. 2008. Latin Americans thirst for alternative to glacier. Climate Alert 17(3). Washington, DC. Online at http://www.climate.org/ publications/ Climate%20Alerts/ 2008-winter.pdf. Accessed May 6. 2010.
  6. Fuentes, F. 2005. Bolivia. ZNet. Online at http://www.zcommunications.org/ bolivia-by-federico-fuentes-1-2. Accessed June 26, 2010.
  7. Shultz, J. 2005. The politics of water in Bolivia. Nation, February 14. Online at http://www.thenation.com/ article/ politics-water-bolivia. Accessed June 26, 2010.
  8. Vásquez, O.C. 2004. El fenómeno El Niño en Perú y Bolivia:Experiencias en participación local. Memoria del Encuentro Binacional Experiencias de Prevención de Desastres y Manejo de eChiclayo, Peru. Bourton on Dunsmore, UK: Practical Action, Schumacher Centre for Technology & Development.
  9. Francou, B., M. Vuille, P. Wagnon, J. Mendoza, and J.-E. Sicart. 2003. Tropical climate change recorded by a glacier in the central Andes during the last decades of the twentieth century: Chacaltaya, Bolivia, 16° S. Journal of Geophysical Research 108.
  10. Francou, B., E. Ramirez, B. Cáceres, and J. Mendoza. 2000. Glacier evolution in the tropical Andes during the last decades of the 20th century: Chacaltaya, Bolivia and Antizana, Ecuador. AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment 29(7):416-422. Online at http://ambio.allenpress.com/ perlserv/ ?request=get-document &doi=10.1639%2F0044-7447 (2000)029%5B0416%3AGEITTA %5D2.0.CO%3B2 &ct=1&SESSID=baeac550abf e15e03992d4b7cf056394. Accessed June 25, 2010.
  11. Yale Environment 360. 2009. In Bolivia, a major glacier disappears. New Haven, CT: Yale School of Forestry & Environmental Studies. Online at http://e360.yale.edu/ content/ digest.msp ?id=1862. Accessed May 7, 2010.
  12. Magrin, G., C. Gay García, D. Cruz Choque, J.C. Giménez, A.R. Moreno, G.J. Nagy, C. Nobre, and A. Villamizar. 2007. Latin America. In: Climate change 2007: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Edited by M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden, and C.E. Hanson. Cambridge University Press, pp. 581-615.
  13. Vuille, M., R.S. Bradley, M. Werner, and F. Keimig. 2003. 20th century climate change in the tropical Andes: Observations and model results. Climatic Change 59.
  14. Vuille, M., and R.S. Bradley. 2000. Mean annual temperature trends and their vertical structure in the tropical Andes. Geophysical Research Letters 27:3885-3888.
  15. Trenberth, K. E., and T. J. Hoar. 1997. El Niño and climate change. Geophysical Research Letters 24(23):3057-3060, doi:10.1029/97GL03092.
  16. United Nations Environment Programme. 2007. Global outlook for ice and snow. Nairobi: Division of Early Warning and Assessment. Online at http://www.unep.org/ geo/ geo_ice/. Accessed May 24 2010.
  17. United Nations Environment Programme and World Glacier Monitoring Service. 2009. Global glacier changes: Facts and figures. Nairobi and Zurich. Online at http://www.grid.unep.ch/ glaciers/. Accessed May 24, 2010.
  18. Chinn, T.J. 2001. Distribution of the glacial water resources of New Zealand. Journal of Hydrology (NZ) 40:139-187.
  19. Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, R.B. Alley, T. Berntsen, N.L. Bindoff, Z. Chen, A. Chidthaisong, J.M. Gregory, G.C. Hegerl, M. Heimann, B. Hewitson, B.J. Hoskins, F. Joos, J. Jouzel, V. Kattsov, U. Lohmann, T. Matsuno, M. Molina, N. Nicholls, J. Overpeck, G. Raga, V. Ramaswamy, J. Ren, M. Rusticucci, R. Somerville, T.F. Stocker, P. Whetton, R.A. Wood, and D. Wratt. 2007. Technical summary. In: Climate change 2007: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Edited by S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor, and H. L. Miller. Cambridge University Press, pp. 20-91.
  20. Steffen, K., P.U. Clark, J.G. Cogley, D. Holland, S. Marshall, E. Rignot, and R. Thomas. 2008. Rapid changes in glaciers and ice sheets and their impacts on sea level. In: Abrupt climate change. Synthesis and assessment product 3.4. Reston, VA: U.S. Geological Survey.
  21. Lemke, P., J. Ren, R.B. Alley, I. Allison, J. Carrasco, G. Flato, Y. Fujii, G. Kaser, P. Mote, R.H. Thomas, and T. Zhang. 2007. Observations: Changes in snow, ice and frozen ground. In: Climate change 2007: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Edited by S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor, and H. L. Miller. Cambridge University Press, pp. 337-383.
  22. Vuille, M. B. Francou, P. Wagnon, I. Juen, G. Kaser, B.G. Mark, R.S. Bradley. 2008. Climate change and tropical Andean glaciers: Past, present and future, Earth-Science Reviews 89:79-96.
  23. Ramírez, E., B. Francou, P. Ribstein, M. Descloitres, R. Guérin, J. Mendoza, R. Gallaire, B. Pouyaud, and E. Jordan. 2001. Small glaciers disappearing in the tropical Andes: A case study in Bolivia—The Chacaltaya glacier, 16° S. Journal of Glaciology 47:187-194.
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